Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Diesel cracks hit record highs as global fuel squeeze deepens

Diesel just pulled off its best flex of the year — record crack spreads and the highest ULSD settlement in over four years — while Trump's refiners summit produced a whole lot of nothing.

Distillate markets are the story: ULSD futures posted their third-highest close ever and diesel cracks are near/at record levels ($91.91/bbl per EIA) as Middle East supply threats and Russian disruptions collide with already-thin global inventories. On the policy side, EPA's 29 Small Refinery Exemptions are drawing fire from soybean groups worried about RIN reallocation and biofuel demand destruction, while Trump's meeting with refiners over pump prices ended without a breakthrough. Operationally, Valero's Port Arthur refinery took a power outage from Storm Edouard, and Sasol flagged continued disruption at its Natref refinery in South Africa, adding to global product-supply anxiety.

Gasoline
$3.254/gal
unch
ULSD
$4.186/gal
unch
WTI
$83.90/bbl
unch
Gas crack
$52.77/bbl
unch
Diesel crack
$91.91/bbl
unch
Retail gas
$4.21/gal
unch
Retail diesel
$5.60/gal
unch
Change vs. prior data point. Spot prices & single-product cracks vs WTI, from EIA data ↗

📈 Markets & Prices

Global Distillate Tightness Intensifies As Supply Threats Multiply
ULSD futures hit their highest settlement in nearly 4.5 years and third-highest close ever, as Middle East supply threats intensify global distillate tightness.
Diesel Cracks Hit Record Highs as Global Fuel Squeeze Deepens
Global diesel refining margins hit record highs as Middle East and Russia disruptions squeeze already-tight fuel markets.
Diesel crack spread surges to record $106 a barrel
Diesel crack spread surged to a record $106/bbl amid severe global supply constraints tied to Iran conflict fallout.

🏭 Refining & Supply Ops

USA Diesel Hits Highest Since April
U.S. diesel prices climbed to their highest level since the April peak during the U.S.-Iran war's initial phase.
Power outage hits Valero Port Arthur (U.S.) refinery after storm Edouard
Storm Edouard knocked out power at Valero's Port Arthur refinery, shutting one crude unit and cutting the larger CDU to minimum rates.
What Is the Oil, Gas Impact of Storm Edouard?
Rigzone examines the broader oil and gas operational impact of Tropical Storm Edouard in the Gulf.
Sasol Confirms Continued Disruption at Key South African Refinery
Sasol confirmed continued disruption at its Natref refinery in South Africa, with measures in place to keep the affected unit running through September.
‘Fuel outage’ warning for South Africa
Sasol's CEO warned of a potential jet fuel outage in South Africa, urging airlines to raise fuel stock levels as a precaution.

🏛️ Policy & Credits

Trump leans on refiners to pump more fuel as prices bite ahead of midterms
Trump met refinery chiefs pushing for increased gasoline and diesel output via permitting and regulatory tweaks ahead of midterms, without a clear breakthrough.
Trump Picks The Wrong Target To Lower Gas Prices With U.S. Refining
Analysis argues Trump's refiner-pressure approach misreads the real constraints on lowering gas prices via domestic refining.
ISG Statement on Small Refinery Exemptions and RIN Reallocation
Illinois Soybean Growers pushed back on EPA's Small Refinery Exemption approvals and RIN reallocation, citing biofuel demand impacts.
Small refinery exemptions offer a mixed bag for U.S. farmers
EPA granted 29 Small Refinery Exemptions under the RFS this week, drawing mixed reaction from farm groups over biofuel demand effects.
EPA Grants Small Refinery Exemptions Impacting Biofuel Demand and Arkansas Soybeans
EPA's 29 Small Refinery Exemptions could reduce biofuel demand tied to soybean-based feedstocks, per Arkansas ag groups.
MSA appreciates Trump administration’s continued focus on US agriculture, domestic biofuels
Missouri Soybean Association backed the administration's move to offset new SRE waivers with reallocation to protect RFS volumes and soy demand.

🗓️ Earnings Radar

  • 2026-09-09 — Casey's General Stores (CASY), estimated
Dates estimated from SEC filing cadence — see the full calendar.