Friday, October 9, 2026

Hurricane Isaias slams Gulf refining as diesel prices stay near records

Mother Nature and geopolitics are tag-teaming the fuels market this week β€” a Cat 3 hurricane just took a third of Gulf platforms offline while Ukraine keeps lighting up Russian refineries, and somehow diesel still can't catch a break at the pump.

Hurricane Isaias strengthened to Category 3 and shut in roughly 1.3M bpd of Gulf production and 121 platforms, putting Gulf Coast refineries on alert even as crude eased Friday on hopes of easing Iran tensions and fuel export resumption. Diesel remains stubbornly elevated near record highs despite White House efforts to boost supply, while independent refiners are set for another blowout earnings quarter on tight global refined product supply. On the policy and clean-fuels side, leadership shakeups hit EcoEngineers and LanzaJet, the Clean Fuel Credit Consortium weighed in on 45Z chain-of-custody rules, and Couche-Tard moved to acquire Irving Oil retail assets in Quebec and Ontario.

Gasoline
$3.396/gal
unch
ULSD
$4.713/gal
unch
WTI
$96.24/bbl
unch
Gas crack
$46.39/bbl
unch
Diesel crack
$101.71/bbl
unch
Retail gas
$4.50/gal
unch
Retail diesel
$6.20/gal
unch
Change vs. prior data point. Spot prices & single-product cracks vs WTI, from EIA data β†—

πŸ“ˆ Markets & Prices

Nymex Overview: Oil Edges Higher; Hurricane Isaias in Focus -- OPIS
Oil edged higher as Hurricane Isaias, now a major hurricane, shut in offshore production and threatened two Gulf Coast refineries.
Oil Eases on Fuel Export Resumption, Trump Iran Comments
Oil prices slid Friday after Trump touted "productive discussions" with Iran and said he won't order attacks ahead of the midterms, aided by fuel export resumption.
Trump’s moves to boost diesel supplies have not yet lowered prices
US diesel prices remain near record highs, up 70% since the Iran conflict began, despite two Trump administration moves aimed at boosting diesel supply.
U.S. refining giants rake in "war dividends": Q3 profits poised to set another record as three companies add $224 billion in market value this year
US independent refiners are poised for record Q3 profits as tightening global refined product supply drives a historic earnings cycle; three companies have added $224B in market value this year.
Dallas Fed: Refinery constraints could keep fuel prices higher
A Dallas Fed report finds continued refinery constraints could keep fuel prices elevated.

🏭 Refining & Supply Ops

Hurricane Isaias squeezes Gulf oil output and puts key refineries on alert
Hurricane Isaias shut in 1.3M bpd of Gulf production and put key refineries on alert, with US refining already running near capacity.
121 Gulf Platforms Evacuated as Isaias Gets Stronger
121 of the Gulf's 371 manned platforms β€” 32.6% β€” were evacuated as Isaias intensified.

πŸ›οΈ Policy & Credits

Ohio’s gas-tax holiday comes with a $725 million state backfill for roads
Ohio cut gasoline and diesel taxes to near zero for 90 days, backfilling $725 million from the General Revenue Fund to cover lost transportation funding.
Clean Fuel Credit Consortium publishes reading of 45Z chain-of-custody rules
The Clean Fuel Credit Consortium published its reading of 45Z chain-of-custody rules, concluding mass-balance books belong with the grain's owner.
Samartzis to step down as LanzaJet CEO
LanzaJet founding CEO Jimmy Samartzis is stepping down to take a new leadership role in the SAF industry.
Menon, founder of EcoEngineers, steps back as CEO to begin new chapter
EcoEngineers founder and CEO Shashi Menon is taking a yearlong sabbatical, stepping back from the role.
US seizes 90 biodiesel shipments bound for Cuba
US authorities seized 90 biodiesel shipments worth over $2.8 million, containing more than 600,000 gallons, bound for Cuba.

🏒 Companies & Earnings

Mizuho raises target for Valero Energy stock to USD 434
Mizuho raised its Valero price target from $300 to $434, citing Q2 revenue of $44.48B, up nearly 49% year-over-year.

🀝 Deals & Retail

Alimentation Couche-Tard To Buy Irving Oil Retail Assets In QuΓ©bec, Ontario
Alimentation Couche-Tard agreed to acquire Irving Oil retail assets in Quebec and Ontario, including 50 retail sites.

πŸ”­ Week Ahead

  • Wed, Oct 14 β€” EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (10:30am ET) β€” inventories, demand, refinery runs
  • Wed, Oct 14 β€” EIA This Week in Petroleum analysis
  • Tue, Oct 13 β€” EPA weekly RIN transaction data update
  • Mon, Oct 12 β€” EIA weekly retail gasoline & diesel prices (Mon PM)