EPA proposes 100% reallocation of RFS volumes lost to refinery exemptions
Crack spreads are doing the heavy lifting again — diesel's triple-digit crack is basically carrying the complex while gasoline chops around on Middle East risk premium fades. Meanwhile, Washington just handed biofuels the news it's been begging for all year.
EPA's proposal to fully reallocate 2025 renewable fuel volumes lost to small refinery exemptions is the day's dominant policy story, drawing praise from biofuel groups, farm-state lawmakers, and NOPA while shifting compliance costs onto refiners that didn't receive exemptions. Markets are mixed: gasoline futures are down 2% as oil slips on OPEC's flagged Saudi supply rebound and weak demand signals, while ULSD has reversed early losses to trade higher, consistent with diesel's crack spread running far above gasoline's ($101.71 vs $46.39/bbl). Elsewhere, shipping and insurance costs tied to tanker risk are pressuring product flows, and GasBuddy notes a "fragile calm" at the retail pump even as retail diesel sits near $6.20/gal.